How to structure a trading backtest
A backtest applies explicit rules to historical observations under stated execution assumptions. Its value depends on those assumptions and the quality of the underlying data.
Read historical results in context: data timing, transaction costs, benchmarks and validation.
Use these methods to make research assumptions visible and historical results easier to inspect.
A backtest applies explicit rules to historical observations under stated execution assumptions. Its value depends on those assumptions and the quality of the underlying data.
Look-ahead bias occurs when a historical decision uses information that would not yet have been available at that decision time.
Transaction costs reduce the difference between gross and net outcomes. A useful model states which fees and execution effects it includes.
Out-of-sample testing evaluates a frozen research specification on observations that were not used to choose it. The split and the change history matter.
Start with the measurement basis, then examine the return path, drawdown and costs together. A headline return is not enough to compare strategies.